The Latest from the 2008 Presidential Election Futures Market

The Clinton contracts traded up substantially this week, while the price of the Obama contracts fell. The Clinton contracts last traded at 45.0 vs 39.1 on 21-Dec, while the Obama contracts are currently trading at 13.5 vs 16.2 a week ago. The Giuliani contracts last traded at 12.3 vs 11.8 last week. The McCain contracts continue to gain ground, now at 8.9 vs 8.0 a week ago on decent weekly volume. The Romney contracts are trading at 9.2, Huckabee at 4.2, and Paul at 4.3. The rest of the candidate contracts were little changed on the week. In the Republican nomination contracts, the McCain contracts continue their assault in price terms on the Romney and Giuliani contracts. While the Giuliani contracts are unchanged at 29.0 and the Romney contracts slipped to 22.4, the McCain contracts are now trading at 18.1 vs 16.4 last week. The Huckabee contracts last traded at 15.3. In the Democratic nomination contracts, Clinton has increased her lead over Obama, last trading at 67.0 vs 63.3 on 21-Dec, while Obama traded down to 24.2 vs 30.6 a week ago.

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Posted in * Economics, Politics, US Presidential Election 2008

One comment on “The Latest from the 2008 Presidential Election Futures Market

  1. Steven in Falls Church says:

    It’ll end up Clinton v. McCain, with McCain winning.