{"id":80170,"date":"2019-04-10T08:00:54","date_gmt":"2019-04-10T12:00:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/kendallharmon.net\/?p=80170"},"modified":"2019-04-10T05:59:41","modified_gmt":"2019-04-10T09:59:41","slug":"quillette-joel-kotkin-the-end-of-aspiration","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kendallharmon.net\/?p=80170","title":{"rendered":"(Quillette) Joel Kotkin&#8211;The End of Aspiration"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">Since the end of the Second World War,<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">  <\/span>middle- and working-class people across the Western world have sought out\u2014and, more often than not, achieved\u2014their aspirations. These usually included a stable income, a home, a family, and the prospect of a comfortable retirement. <\/span><span class=\"s1\">However, from Sydney to San Francisco, this aspiration is rapidly fading as a result of a changing economy, soaring land costs, and a regulatory regime, all of which combine to make it increasingly difficult for the new generation to achieve a lifestyle like that enjoyed by their parents. This generational gap between aspiration and disappointment could define our demographic, political, and social future.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p2\"><span class=\"s1\">In the United States, about 90 percent of children born in 1940 grew up to experience higher incomes than their parents, according to researchers at <a href=\"http:\/\/www.equality-of-opportunity.org\/papers\/abs_mobility_paper.pdf\"><span class=\"s2\">the <\/span><\/a><a href=\"http:\/\/www.equality-of-opportunity.org\/\"><span class=\"s2\">Equality of Opportunity Project<\/span><\/a>. That figure dropped to <a href=\"http:\/\/www.equality-of-opportunity.org\/papers\/abs_mobility_paper.pdf\"><span class=\"s3\">only 50 percent<\/span><\/a> of those born in the 1980s. The US <a href=\"https:\/\/www.census.gov\/content\/dam\/Census\/newsroom\/c-span\/2015\/20150130_cspan_youngadults.pdf\"><span class=\"s4\">Census bureau<\/span><\/a> estimates that, even when working full-time, people in their late twenties and early thirties earn $2000 less in real dollars than the same age cohort in 1980.<\/span> <span class=\"s1\">More than 20 percent of people aged 18 to 34 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.census.gov\/content\/dam\/Census\/newsroom\/c-span\/2015\/20150130_cspan_youngadults.pdf\"><span class=\"s4\">live in poverty<\/span><\/a>, up from 14 percent in 1980. Three-quarters of American adults today predict their child will not grow up to be better-off than they are, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.pewglobal.org\/2017\/06\/05\/2-public-divided-on-prospects-for-the-next-generation\/\"><span class=\"s2\">according to Pew<\/span><\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p2\"><span class=\"s1\">These sentiments are<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\"> <\/span>even more pronounced in France, <\/span><span class=\"s6\">Britain, Spain, Italy, and Germany.<\/span><span class=\"s1\"> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.pewglobal.org\/2018\/11\/12\/despite-rising-economic-confidence-japanese-see-best-days-behind-them-and-say-children-face-a-bleak-future\/\"><span class=\"s2\">In Japan<\/span><\/a>, a remarkable three-quarters of those polled said they believe things will be worse for the next generation. Even in China, many<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\"> <\/span>young<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\"> <\/span>people<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\"> <\/span>face <a href=\"https:\/\/clb.org.hk\/content\/employment-and-wages.\"><span class=\"s2\">a troubling future<\/span><\/a>; in <\/span><span class=\"s7\">2017, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.weforum.org\/agenda\/2017\/04\/higher-education-in-china-has-boomed-in-the-last-decade\"><span class=\"s3\">eight million graduates<\/span><\/a> entered the job market, but most ended up with salaries that could have been attained by going to work in a factory straight out of high school.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\"> <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/quillette.com\/2019\/04\/10\/the-end-of-aspiration\/\">Read it all<\/a>.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">On the Return of Feudalism may become one of 2020&#8217;s most important books <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/NauJDZnZ8m\">https:\/\/t.co\/NauJDZnZ8m<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Harry Lehmann (@harrymlehmann) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/harrymlehmann\/status\/1115796428163432448?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 10, 2019<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Since the end of the Second World War, middle- and working-class people across the Western world have sought out\u2014and, more often than not, achieved\u2014their aspirations. These usually included a stable income, a home, a family, and the prospect of a<span class=\"ellipsis\">&hellip;<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"read-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/kendallharmon.net\/?p=80170\">Read more &#8250;<\/a><\/div>\n<p><!-- end of .read-more --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":794,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[39,175,149,168,119,597,593],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-80170","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-culture-watch","category-anthropology","category-economy","category-ethics-moral-theology","category-globalization","category-laborlabor-unionslabor-market","category-personal-finance"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kendallharmon.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/80170","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kendallharmon.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kendallharmon.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kendallharmon.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/794"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kendallharmon.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=80170"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/kendallharmon.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/80170\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":80175,"href":"https:\/\/kendallharmon.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/80170\/revisions\/80175"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kendallharmon.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=80170"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kendallharmon.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=80170"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kendallharmon.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=80170"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}