Here is the world in 2050, as imagined by the U.S. Census Bureau: India will be the most populous nation, surpassing China sometime around 2025. The U.S. will remain exactly where it is now: in third place, with a population of 423 million (up from 308 million in 2010). And declining birth rates in two of the world’s most economically and politically influential countries, Japan and Russia, will cause them to fall from their current positions as the 9th and 10th most populous nations, respectively, to 16th and 17th.
The findings are the result of population estimates and projections of 228 countries compiled by the Census Bureau’s International Data Base (IDB). They offer a revealing look into the future.
I find it hard to believe that Nigeria will support 402m and Ethiopia 278m in 40 years – is there the food and water for such numbers? Even desertified Niger is projected to have huge numbers. There can only be massive political consequences. OTOH, the catastrophic declien of Russia makes you wonder if they will be able to hold onto Siberia. Europe will have a hard job avoiding Maghrebization and Turkification. A very rocky road ahead.
Wow. I had no idea Nigeria was growing at such a pace. Interesting…
Data for Uganda:
2011 – 34 million
2050 – 128 million
Data for United Kingdom:
2011 – 62 million
2050 – 71 million
As the bloke says in Mary Poppins, “The wind has changed, Sir. Seems to be comin’ in from a new quarter.”
It’s important to keep in mind that such numbers for 2050 are of course not data, just projections or estimates.
But it looks like it would be difficult for the UK to grow much with current attitudes:
http://pjsaunders.blogspot.com/2011/07/newly-revealed-abortion-statistics.html
The UK’s population will steadily grow, but this will be from:
1. immigration
2. higher birthrates among ethnic minorities, including Muslims.
Lokk for ever sharper social divides between cities and suburbia/countryside.