Mitt Romney may have seized the advantage in terms of poll numbers and momentum, but there’s one area where President Obama enjoys the upper hand.
In the end, it’s the only area that counts: the Electoral College. Over the past 20 years, Republicans have had a much lower ceiling when it comes to electoral support, while Democrats have had a significantly higher floor.
“The Democrats start with a larger number of electoral votes in the bank,” says Daron Shaw, author of The Race to 270, a book about electoral strategy. That’s because while the election is still very much in the air, Obama can count on a larger store of electoral votes that are all but guaranteed to him than Romney can.
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