1,423 for Hillary Clinton to 1,512 for Barack Obama. Over on Intrade, for the nomination, Obama is at 74 and Clinton is at 25.3.
John Hood notes the key role of when you chose to vote in the outcome:
The Texas exit polls show Obama leading Clinton 52-48 among voters who decided a while back, but Clinton leading Obama by a whopping 61-38 among those deciding in the last three days.
The only people fainting now are the Democratic party elders at the thought of what is happening to their party.
Wow. This is democracy in action folks! No one-man coronation here — just individual Democratic voters battling it out at the ballot box – America at its finest!
“The Texas exit polls show Obama leading Clinton 52-48 among voters who decided a while back, but Clinton leading Obama by a whopping 61-38 among those deciding in the last three days”
As though Obama were the incumbent. Voters who make up their minds during the last few days before a well-publicized election tend to vote against the incumbent.
Bill [#2]: This year’s primary campaign has been one of the healthiest that the Democratic Party has had in years. With campaigning having begun almost a year ago, I’d be concerned that the contest would end prematurely—i.e., without the winner having been properly tested. Not so.
##2 and 4
If you go to the TX Sec. of State page (Kendall linked to it last night as “Very Tight in Texas”) the numbers show that approximately 700,000 Democratic voters did not vote for the down ballot races, including US senator. This was about 25% of the Democratic vote. The Republican equivalent was 12%. There is anecdotal evidence that a number of Republicans voted in the Democratic primary for Clinton in order to keep the nomination fight going and hurt the Democrats. Someone is wrong about whether this is good or bad for the Democrats; my perspective is stated in #1.
#5, I’ve heard reports that Republicans cross-voting in the Democratic primary yesterday were breaking about even, with Obama having a slight edge. It is a very confused situation. I fear it’s all going to come down to the superdelegates and the Michigan/Florida delegates. could get very ugly.