The Latest from Intrade on the American Presidential Election Process as of SuperTuesday Morning

Mitt Romney to win the Ohio Primary as of now 86.1

Mitt Romney to be Republican Presidential Nominee is 87.8

Barack Obama to be re-elected President in the Fall of 2012–60.6

If interested, you may find a lot more there.

Posted in * Economics, Politics, Office of the President, Politics in General

5 comments on “The Latest from Intrade on the American Presidential Election Process as of SuperTuesday Morning

  1. Pageantmaster Ù† says:

    If you have difficulty understanding cricket, you have some inkling of the problems we Brits have in understanding all this.

  2. Pageantmaster Ù† says:

    Mind you, I am assuming that Americans themselves understand all this – you do, don’t you? Can anyone recommend a book for us Parliamentary democrats with a constitutional monarchy? ‘Presidential Primaries for Dummies’ or something?

  3. Dallasite says:

    Republicans have a death wish this year. It will be their 1972. Santorum would be an utter disaster as a candidate. Gingirch is nuts. Ron Paul is Ron Paul – interesting but irrelevant. Romney is a technocrat. The Tea Party is a Train Wreck.

  4. Teatime2 says:

    LOL, Pageantmaster. The “electoral college” thing is just bloody bonkers. It makes no sense. At all. And of course the whole thing HAS to drag out for at least a year, or what would all of those PACs, lobbyists, media groups, well-heeled donors, and campaign paraphernalia manufacturers do with themselves if it didn’t?! 😉

    Honestly, a parliamentary system would make a whole lot more sense but we just couldn’t have a structure that resembled England’s, could we? Grrrrrrrr.

    I’m hoping Santorum gets the nomination just so I will finally have something to snicker about when my Pennsylvania relatives throw GWB in my face. Let’s face it, barring something truly bizarre, this GOP field has guaranteed Obama will get a second term. I don’t know why Ron Paul didn’t start the foundation of a solid third party four years ago when his own party dissed him so badly. A good Libertarian candidate would certainly shake things up!

  5. Sarah says:

    RE: “I don’t know why Ron Paul didn’t start the foundation of a solid third party four years ago when his own party dissed him so badly.”

    There’s already a third party for Paul’s political worldview — the Libertarian Party.

    Problem is — a valid and successful third party would take around 25-50 years of concerted effort, building from the grass roots and with lots of money, such that it would eventually replace one of the other two main parties.

    I expect, once Romney fails, we’ll end up with “the Proletariat With Pitchforks” moving en masse to a third party for the 2016 “event.” It’s sad — but when a party loses its relevance and its base and it becomes apparent that it’s a permanent condition — then the third party becomes a surety.