By 2050, about 90% of humanoids, or about 930 million units, will likely be used for repetitive, simple, and structured work—primarily industrial and commercial purposes. China is likely to have the highest number of humanoid robots in use by 2050, at 302.3 million, trailed by the U.S. at 77.7 million (up from the previous forecast of 63 million).
“The forecast for household usage is much more conservative, with only 80 million humanoids in homes by 2050,” Jonas says. “We are not going to see a robot in every home overnight.”
Creating a general-purpose humanoid that is capable of doing a vast array of useful tasks at home will require technological progress in both hardware and AI models, which should take about another decade. To get those humanoids into homes, prices need to decline significantly, in parallel with regulatory and societal acceptance of this use of humanoids.
“Once we get to that stage, humanoid volume and penetration should pick up quickly,” Jonas says.
Humanoids: A $5 Trillion Market #ArtificialInteligence #AI Morgan Stanley sees #Robots taking over the jobs of real humans as a business opportunity 👍 #Humanoids pic.twitter.com/4u7fVI6D47
— Tom Boyle (@tomboylefilms) June 4, 2025
